Integrated assessment projections for the impact of innovation on CCS deployment in Europe.
In: International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, Jg. 103 (2020-12-01), S. N.PAG
academicJournal
Zugriff:
• Under 2 °C policy we find that CO 2 capture in Europe may grow to some 1700 MtCO 2 /yr in 2050. • CCS applied to natural gas and biomass could then account for 25 % of electricity generation. • Natural gas with CCS could contribute over 35 % of energy use in industry. • Strict climate policy is a bigger driver of broad CCS diffusion than technology cost reductions. • A 30 % CCS capital cost reduction could yield about 17 billion US$/yr energy system cost savings. CCS is expected to play a sizeable role over the next several decades to drastically abate greenhouse gas emissions in the energy system by 2050. With the integrated assessment model TIAM-ECN we project how large its contribution could be in Europe in the power sector and industry, and analyze how this contribution may be affected by cost decline (driven by technological innovation) and ambitious greenhouse gas emission reduction targets. If Europe stays on track of achieving zero net emissions by mid-century, we find that CO 2 capture activities in Europe may grow to a total amount of some 1700 MtCO 2 /yr in 2050. We project that by 2050 power plants equipped with CCS could contribute by approximately 25 % to total electricity generation, in competition with low-carbon alternatives such as nuclear energy and renewables like solar photovoltaic and wind power. CCS in association with the use of natural gas could account for about 35 % of energy use in industrial applications, while the use of biomass and coal combined with CCS could be employed for the production of hydrogen. We find that stringent climate policy measures constitute a bigger driver of broad CCS diffusion than CCS technology cost reductions. We project that under stringent climate policy targeting zero net emissions by 2050, a 30 % CCS capital cost reduction as a result of technological advancement could proffer Europe by the middle of the century a saving of about 17 billion US$/yr in additional energy system costs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Titel: |
Integrated assessment projections for the impact of innovation on CCS deployment in Europe.
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Autor/in / Beteiligte Person: | Dalla Longa, Francesco ; Detz, Remko ; van der Zwaan, Bob |
Zeitschrift: | International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, Jg. 103 (2020-12-01), S. N.PAG |
Veröffentlichung: | 2020 |
Medientyp: | academicJournal |
ISSN: | 1750-5836 (print) |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.ijggc.2020.103133 |
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