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Objective: This study aimed to estimate and predict the burden of osteoarthritis (OA) and site-specific OA (hip, knee, hand, and others) from 1990 to 2030 and their attributable risk factors in China.

Method: Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases 2019. The burden was estimated by analyzing the trends of prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY). Population attributable risk (PAR) was calculated to assess the impact of high body mass index (BMI). The prediction from 2020 to 2030 was implemented by Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis.

Results: In China, prevalent cases, DALY, and incident cases of OA increased to 132.81 million, 4.72 million, and 10.68 million, respectively. Age-standardized rates (ASRs) of prevalence, DALYs, and incidence increased for OA and site-specific OA, especially for hip OA. Site-specific OA showed different susceptible peaking ages, and the burden for those over 50 years old became serious. Female preference existed in the trends for knee OA but not in those for hip, hand, and other OA. PARs of high BMI continued to increase, impacting knee OA more than hip OA and showing female preference. In the next decade, incident cases for OA and site-specific OA will continue to increase, despite that the ASR of OA incidence will decrease.

Conclusions: OA and site-specific OA remain huge public health challenges in China. The burden of OA and site-specific OA is increasing, especially among people over 50 years old. Health education, exercise, and removing modifiable risk factors contribute to alleviate the growing burden. Key Points • In China, the burden of osteoarthritis and site-specific osteoarthritis (hip, knee, hand, and others) as well as the Risk Factor (high body mass index) increased greatly from 1990 to 2019. • It is estimated that incident cases for OA and site-specific OA will continue to increase, despite that the ASR of OA incidence will decrease.

Titel:	Burden evaluation and prediction of osteoarthritis and site-specific osteoarthritis coupled with attributable risk factors in China from 1990 to 2030.
Autor/in / Beteiligte Person:	Hao, Z ; Wang, Y ; Wang, L ; Feng, Q ; Li, H ; Chen, T ; Chen, J ; Wang, J ; Shi, G ; Chen, R ; Li, B ; Zhou, S ; Jin, W ; Li, J
Link:	Full Text Finder (Volltext)
Zeitschrift:	Clinical rheumatology, Jg. 43 (2024-06-01), Heft 6, S. 2061-2077
Veröffentlichung:	<2008->: Heidelberg : Springer ; <i>Original Publication</i>: Brussels : Acta Medica Belgica, [1982-, 2024
Medientyp:	academicJournal
ISSN:	1434-9949 (electronic)
DOI:	10.1007/s10067-024-06985-6
Schlagwort:	Humans China epidemiology Female Risk Factors Middle Aged Male Prevalence Aged Incidence Adult Body Mass Index Osteoarthritis, Knee epidemiology Cost of Illness Disability-Adjusted Life Years Young Adult Global Burden of Disease trends Quality-Adjusted Life Years Adolescent Osteoarthritis, Hip epidemiology Aged, 80 and over Bayes Theorem Osteoarthritis epidemiology
Sonstiges:	Nachgewiesen in: MEDLINE Sprachen: English Publication Type: Journal Article Language: English [Clin Rheumatol] 2024 Jun; Vol. 43 (6), pp. 2061-2077. <i>Date of Electronic Publication: </i>2024 May 02. MeSH Terms: Osteoarthritis* / epidemiology ; Humans ; China / epidemiology ; Female ; Risk Factors ; Middle Aged ; Male ; Prevalence ; Aged ; Incidence ; Adult ; Body Mass Index ; Osteoarthritis, Knee / epidemiology ; Cost of Illness ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Young Adult ; Global Burden of Disease / trends ; Quality-Adjusted Life Years ; Adolescent ; Osteoarthritis, Hip / epidemiology ; Aged, 80 and over ; Bayes Theorem References: Sanchez-Lopez E, Coras R, Torres A et al (2022) Synovial inflammation in osteoarthritis progression. Nat Rev Rheumatol 18(5):258–275. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41584-022-00749-9. (PMID: 10.1038/s41584-022-00749-9351654049050956) ; Motta F, Barone E, Sica A et al (2022) Inflammaging and osteoarthritis. 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Burden evaluation and prediction of osteoarthritis and site-specific osteoarthritis coupled with attributable risk factors in China from 1990 to 2030.